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It’s all over… for now

Glen O’Hara / July 11, 2019 at 1:59 PM 116 views

So that's it. It's a wrap for the academic year 2018/19. It's been another pathetic and embarrassing year for British politics, with the fall of one Prime Minister and the rise of another who makes Captain Caveman look like Socrates.…

Advance, Britannia!

Glen O’Hara / June 27, 2019 at 4:36 PM 152 views

It’s hard to maintain any optimism about British politics these days. The structural faultlines look too great to be surmounted. Something’s going to have to give – probably in the midst of the hugeconstitutional crisis we look to be heading…

Running the sliderule over ‘Land for the many’

Glen O’Hara / June 27, 2019 at 9:42 AM 149 views

Given that Labour now looks fairly likely to be in power in the near future, it’s important to look at some of the Party’s policy pronouncements – such as the recent report on land policy written for Labour by environmentalist…

It’s all coming up roses for Jeremy Corbyn

Glen O’Hara / June 26, 2019 at 3:20 PM 121 views

With British politics in chaos, it’s hard sometimes to step back and divine the big winner. Everything seems in flux. The narrative (and the polls) could shift tomorrow. Yet another crisis could intervene and change the frame. Scandals could break.…

British politics is now full of challengers

Glen O’Hara / June 25, 2019 at 1:19 PM 109 views

This blog has already been very clear about the struggles of the Big Two political parties in Great Britain. They are in a deep hole, and they show every sign of continuing their dig. Two challenger parties – one old,…

Labour could be staring at a historic defeat

Glen O’Hara / November 22, 2016 at 1:44 PM 1,342 views

History matters in elections. In this year’s US Presidential contest, political science models based on past relationships – involving, for instance, incumbent popularity or economic growth – did better than short-term modelling based on opinion polls. Most such models predicted…

British lessons for the American election?

Glen O’Hara / October 31, 2016 at 2:40 PM 869 views

Many British observers looking on at the US Presidential election have started to feel hairs standing up on their necks. A front-runner most people think is now the inevitable winner? An establishment choice that it seems inconceivable won't make it…

Is western-style democracy in trouble?

Glen O’Hara / October 24, 2016 at 3:53 PM 772 views

Democracy doesn't always look all that much fun at the moment, does it? You put up a few mild opinions, you get back some alt-left or alt-right links from The Canary or Breitbart full of plot twists and ways of…

Where are the Conservatives actually going?

Glen O’Hara / October 3, 2016 at 1:10 PM 1,187 views

What is Conservatism actually for? The question is a pressing one, because as Conservative Party activists meet in Birmingham for their first Conference since Britain’s Brexit vote, it seems less than clear. No doubt the near-unprecedented political and strategic upheaval…

The end… for now

Glen O’Hara / July 3, 2016 at 11:18 PM 337 views

So it's been an enormously dispiriting and exhausting year, in which the idea that you should conduct public policy calmly, wisely and with some evidence has taken blow after blow after blow. It's been a year, indeed, in which rationality…

The end… for now

Glen O’Hara / July 3, 2016 at 11:18 PM 432 views

So it's been an enormously dispiriting and exhausting year, in which the idea that you should conduct public policy calmly, wisely and with some evidence has taken blow after blow after blow. It's been a year, indeed, in which rationality…

How did Leave win?

Glen O’Hara / June 29, 2016 at 11:41 PM 561 views

Leave shouldn’t have won the UK’s referendum on the European Union. They were a very uneasy coalition. There were huge ructions at the top of their campaign. With just weeks to go before the vote, their whole effort basically amounted…

Boris Johnson’s alternative histories

Glen O’Hara / February 22, 2016 at 6:13 PM 724 views

Counterfactual history is controversial. To recap, it's the idea that you can play with some of the variables in the past and try to see where events would have washed you with a critical bit of the story taken out,…